Turnout and the Vote
The Joke's on the Democrats
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3535243 |
|---|---|
| Authors | James Denardo (Princeton University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1980 |
| Volume | 74 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 406-420 |
| Publication date | 1980-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Political Science Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/1960636 |
| OpenAlex | W2016320305 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 98 |
| References cited | 8 |
A heavy turnout is commonly believed to favor the Democrats. This study presents theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence that challenge the conventional view. Reasonable assumptions about the behavior of core and peripheral voters lead to the conclusion that the majority party is most likely to suffer when turnout increases, common sense notwithstanding. It also appears that the recent decay of partisan loyalties among voters has eroded the relationship between turnout and the vote
Core (optical fiber · Demographic economics · Economics · Empirical evidence · Epistemology · Joke · Linguistics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Telecommunications · Turnout · Voter turnout · Voting · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Psychology · Social Psychology
Coattails, Raincoats, and Congressional Election Outcomes
Political Equality and Turnout
Partisan Bias of Non-Voters in Canada and the Consequences for Representative Democracy
Candidate Preference, State Context, and Voter Turnout
Yes, structurally low turnout favors the right
Weather, Risk, and Voting
Turnout, party system diversity and left-of-centre parties
The turnout myth and referendum voting in the United States
When Increased Turnout Matters
Election Timing and Public Policy
Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout
The Voting Wars
Why Making Voting Easier Isn’t Enough
Campaigns, Political Preferences and Turnout
The partisan consequences of turnout revisited
The Forum
Evaluating Partisan Registrations Amid the Electronic Registration Information Center Controversy
Smiles, turnout, candidates, and the winning of district seats
Party Registration and Party Vote
Early voting, direct democracy, and voter mobilization
Rebuttal to Wuffle and Collet's Supposedly Irrefutable Evidence that Higher Turnout Benefits Republicans
Rethinking the partisan effects of higher turnout
Does rain help the Republicans? Theory and evidence on turnout and the vote
Turnout and presidential coattails in congressional elections
The impact of turnout on partisan bias in U.S. House elections, 1972–2018
Verzerrte Beteiligung
Phone-Based Gotv—What’s on the Line? Field Experiments with Varied Partisan Components, 2002-2003
Voter Participation and Party-Group Fortunes in European Parliament Elections, 1979-1999
Registrants, Voters, and Turnout Variability Across Neighborhoods
Party Realignment, Education, and the Turnout Advantage
America's Uneven Democracy
The Effects of Turnout on Partisan Outcomes in U.S. Presidential Elections 1960–2000
The Republicans Should Pray for Rain
Participación y resultados electorales en España
Regular Voters, Marginal Voters and the Electoral Effects of Turnout
Partisan Divisions and Voting Decisions
Would the Dream of Political Equality Turn out to Be a Nightmare
Scottish secession and voter turnout
From voter ID to party ID
Turnout and Incumbency in Local Elections
Explaining Presidential Losses in Midterm Congressional Elections
Where Turnout Matters
Are Voters Better Represented
Partisan Strategy and the Adoption of Same-Day Registration in the American States
Who Makes Voting Convenient? Explaining the Adoption of Early and No-Excuse Absentee Voting in the American States
Does Median Voter Income Matter? The Effects of Inequality and Turnout on Government Spending
The Dynamic Consequences of Nonvoting in American National Elections
Gubernatorial Coattail Effects in State Legislative Elections
Ideological Extremity, Issue Distance, and Voter Defection
A New Look at the Republican Advantage in Nonpartisan Elections
Did Disfranchisement Laws Help Elect President Bush? New Evidence on the Turnout Rates and Candidate Preferences of Florida’s Ex-Felons
Public Accountability and Political Participation
A Propensity Score Reweighting Approach to Estimating the Partisan Effects of Full Turnout in American Presidential Elections
Voter Registration and Turnout in the United States
When the kingmaker stays home
Do Labour Parties Suffer from Declining Turnout? Evidence from Norwegian Local Elections
Why Democrats Shouldn't Vote (With Acknowledgements to R. Erikson)
Macroeconomic Conditions, Voter Turnout, and the Working-class/Economically Disadvantaged Party Vote in Developing Countries
Does Turnout Decline Matter? Electoral Turnout and Partisan Choice in the 1997 Canadian Federal Election
Strategic Spending
An Expected Party Vote
The Mobilization of Core Supporters
The Revised Theory of Surge and Decline
What if Everyone Voted? Simulating the Impact of Increased Turnout in Senate Elections
Does Compulsory Voting Increase Support for Leftist Policy
The Implications of Nonvoting for Democracy in the United States
Turnout and the Vote for Left-of-Centre Parties
Declining Turnout in an Era of Waning Partisanship
The Political Implications of Higher Turnout
Surge and Decline
Voter Mobilization and the Obama Victory
Understanding the Adoption of Voter Identification Laws in the American States
The Impact of Election Day Registration on Voter Turnout and Election Outcomes
The Perverse Consequences of Electoral Reform in the United States
Income, Preferences, and the Dynamics of Policy Responsiveness
Exploring citizen turnout and invalid voting in Indonesia
How representative are referendums? Evidence from 20 years of Swiss referendums
Changing votes or changing voters? How candidates and election context swing voters and mobilize the base
Voter Disenfranchisement and Policy toward Election Reforms
Introduction
The partisan effects of low turnout
Differential turnout and party advantage in British general elections, 1964-83
High turnout in the Low Countries
The reappearing American voter
Coattails and spillover-effects
Change in) turnout and (change in) the left share of the vote
Partisan turnout bias and district magnitude
Compelled without direction
A behavioral measure of the enthusiasm gap in American elections
Does low turnout matter? Evidence from the 2000 Canadian federal election
Turnout and Party Registration among Criminal Offenders in the 2008 General Election
The Decline of Electoral Participation in America
Does Heavy Turnout Help Democrats in Presidential Elections
Mediated Corruption
Estimating the Electoral Effects of Voter Turnout
The Performance of Rational Voter Models in Recent Presidential Elections
Partisan Effects of Voter Turnout in Senatorial and Gubernatorial Elections
Voter Turnout, Felon Disenfranchisement and Partisan Outcomes in Presidential Elections, 1988-2012
| Unique citing works | 98 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,23 |
| Citation span | 1982 - 2026 (45) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 97 |