Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

The dual economy, climate change, and the polarization of American politics

Bibliographic Data

ID4237355
AuthorsThomas Oatley (0000-0002-1604-6092, Tulane University, corresponding author)
Year2024
Volume22
Issue3
Pages1355-1380
Publication date2024-07-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSocio-Economic Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1475-1461 • E-ISSN: 1475-147X
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/ser/mwad052
OpenAlexW4387327499
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited32

This article explores two questions. What generates the political division over climate change policy in the United States? How is the division over climate change policy related to the broader polarization of contemporary American politics? I argue that the geographies of America's dual economy-the knowledge economy and the carbon economy-and exposure to the climate crisis intersect to generate a new axis of conflict, which I call the carbon-climate cleavage. This cleavage produces political division over climate change and provides materialist elements that accompany the sociocultural factors that shape contemporary polarization. I demonstrate the existence of the cleavage and its impact using data on economic geography, political attitudes on climate change policy, and support for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. The empirical analysis indicates that carbon economy communities oppose climate change policy and support Trump, while knowledge economy residents support climate change policy and oppose Trump

Climate change · Economics · Polarization (electrochemistry) · Political economy · Political economy of climate change · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Climate Change and Geoengineering · Climate Change Communication and Perception

  • Climate at what cost? A survey experiment on trade-offs between decarbonization ambitions and socioeconomic costs

    Open Access•David Van Der Duin, Francesco Nicoli et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2026

  • Asset struggles

    Open Access•Philipp Golka, Théo Bourgeron•New Political Economy•2026

  • Broken links

    Open Access•Sarah Hitchner, John Schelhas et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2025

  • Navigating Eco‐Social Policymaking

    Open Access•Matteo Mandelli, Ekaterina Domorenok et al.•Regulation & Governance•2025

  • Why the Fed and ECB parted ways on climate change

    Open Access•Monica Dileo, Glenn D Rudebusch et al.•The British Journal of Politics…•2025

  • What makes Guatemalan citizens green

    Moisés Arce, Ludovico Feoli et al.•Environmental Politics•2025

  • What kind of energy transition? Public opinion trade-offs between economic growth, ecological sustainability, and equity

    Open Access•Marcello Natili, Alessandro Pellegata et al.•European Journal of Political…•2026

  • The Ecologism/Productivism cleavage

    Florent Gougou, Simon Persico•West European Politics•2026

  • There is more to national economies than the national economy

    Open Access•Aidan Regan, Mark Blyth•Socio-Economic Review•2025

  • The Vanishing Middle Class

    Open Access•Peter Temin•The vanishing middle class•2018

  • Ethnic antagonism erodes Republicans’ commitment to democracy

    Open Access•Larry M Bartels•Proceedings of the National…•2020

  • Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure

    David Autor, David Dorn et al.•American Economic Review•2020

  • Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour

    Open Access•W Arthur Lewis•Manchester School•1954

  • Boomerang Effects in Science Communication

    Open Access•P Sol Hart, Erik C Nisbet•Communication Research•2011

  • The China Shock

    David H Autor, David Autor et al.•Annual Review of Economics•2016

  • Prisoners of the Wrong Dilemma

    Michaël Aklin, Matto Mildenberger•Global Environmental Politics•2020

  • Green Industrial Policy and the Global Transformation of Climate Politics

    Bentley B Allan, Joanna I Lewis et al.•Global Environmental Politics•2021

  • Why has regional income convergence in the U.S. declined

    Open Access•Peter Ganong, Daniel Shoag•Journal of Urban Economics•2017

  • The centre-periphery divide and attitudes towards climate change measures among Western Europeans

    Open Access•Christoph Arndt, Daphne Halikiopoulou et al.•Environmental Politics•2023

  • The Trade Origins of Economic Nationalism

    Open Access•Italo Colantone, Piero Stanig•American Journal of Political…•2018

  • Identity crisis

    John Sides•Identity crisis•2018

  • Democratic Limits to Redistribution

    Open Access•Trine Iversen, Torben Iversen et al.•World Politics•2015

  • Is Polarization a Myth

    Alan I Abramowitz, Kyle L Saunders•The Journal of Politics•2008

  • Race, Place, and Building a Base

    Benjamin J Newman, Sono Shah et al.•Public Opinion Quarterly•2018

  • Vote Switching in the 2016 Election

    Open Access•Tyler T Reny, L Collingwood et al.•Public Opinion Quarterly•2019

  • Climate‐Science Communication and the Measurement Problem

    Open Access•Dan M Kahan•Political Psychology•2015

  • Economic Self-Interest and Americans’ Redistributive, Class, and Racial Attitudes

    Open Access•C R Melcher•Political Behavior•2023

  • Populism in Place

    Open Access•J Lawrence Broz, Jeffry Frieden et al.•International Organization•2021

  • Winners and Losers in International Trade

    Open Access•J Bradford Jensen, Dennis P Quinn et al.•International Organization•2017

  • Support for Free Trade

    Open Access•Edward D Mansfield, Diana C Mutz•International Organization•2009

  • Why Don't Trade Preferences Reflect Economic Self-Interest

    Open Access•Sungmin Rho, Michael Tomz•International Organization•2017

  • Climate Change

    Philip J Egan, Patrick J Egan et al.•Annual Review of Political Science•2017

  • The Causes of Populism in the West

    Open Access•Berman, Sheri Berman•Annual Review of Political Science•2021

  • Interests, Norms and Support for the Provision of Global Public Goods

    Open Access•Michael M Bechtel, Federica Genovese et al.•British Journal of Political…•2019

  • Asset Revaluation and the Existential Politics of Climate Change

    Open Access•Jeff D Colgan, Jessica Green et al.•International Organization•2020

  • United States

    Open Access•Alan I Abramowitz, Alan Abramowitz et al.•The Annals of the American…•2019

  • Monetary Populism in Nineteenth-Century America

    Open Access•Jeffry Frieden, Jeffry A Frieden•The Journal of Economic History•1997

  • Creating Climate Coalitions

    Open Access•Nilesh Gaikwad, Federica Genovese et al.•American Political Science Review•2022

  • Gone For Good

    Open Access•Leonardo Baccini, Stephen Weymouth•American Political Science Review•2021

Unique citing works9
Citations per year9
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 9

Tools

Open DOI
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae