Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Using the IAT to predict ethnic and racial discrimination

Small effect sizes of unknown societal significance

Bibliographic Data

ID6206582
AuthorsFrederick L Oswald (0000-0002-7275-5408, Rice University), Gregory Mitchell (0000-0003-0877-1371), Hart Blanton (0000-0002-2428-797X, University of Connecticut), James Jaccard (0000-0002-2254-1487), Philip E Tetlock (0000-0002-6535-530X, University of Pennsylvania)
Year2015
Volume108
Issue4
Pages562-571
Publication date2015-04-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Personality and Social Psychology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3514 • E-ISSN: 1939-1315
PublisherAmerican Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1037/pspa0000023
PMID25844574
OpenAlexW3125290746
LanguageEN
Citations received54
References cited36

Greenwald, Banaji, and Nosek (2015) present a reanalysis of the meta-analysis by Oswald, Mitchell, Blanton, Jaccard, and Tetlock (2013) that examined the effect sizes of Implicit Association Tests (IATs) designed to predict racial and ethnic discrimination. We discuss points of agreement and disagreement with respect to methods used to synthesize the IAT studies, and we correct an error by Greenwald et al. that obscures a key contribution of our meta-analysis. In the end, all of the meta-analyses converge on the conclusion that, across diverse methods of coding and analyzing the data, IAT scores are not good predictors of ethnic or racial discrimination, and explain, at most, small fractions of the variance in discriminatory behavior in controlled laboratory settings. The thought experiments presented by Greenwald et al. go well beyond the lab to claim systematic IAT effects in noisy real-world settings, but these hypothetical exercises depend crucially on untested and, arguably, untenable assumptions

Categorization · Coding (social sciences) · Cognitive psychology · Ethnic group · Implicit-association test · Jaccard index · Meta-analysis · Sociology · Statistics · Variance (accounting) · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Cultural Differences and Values · Psychology · Social and Intergroup Psychology · Social Psychology

  • From empirical hypothesis to moral commitment

    Open Access•Ilana Redstone•Theory and Society•2026

  • Assessing civilian perceptions of combat veterans

    Open Access•Cade Schreger, Matthew Kimble•Psychological Trauma Theory…•2016

  • Racial Biases in Parent-Teacher Ratings of Childhood ADHD Symptoms

    Open Access•Sungha Kang, Nilanjana Dasgupta et al.•Child Psychiatry & Human…•2025

  • The wrongs of racist beliefs

    Open Access•Rima Basu•Philosophical Studies•2019

  • The Implicit Association Test

    Open Access•Ulrich Schimmack•Perspectives on Psychological…•2021

  • Attitudes and Attitude Change

    Open Access•Dolores Albarracin, Sharon Shavitt•Annual Review of Psychology•2018

  • Microaggressions

    Open Access•Scott O Lilienfeld•Perspectives on Psychological…•2017

  • The Value of Interracial Contact for Reducing Anti-Black Bias Among Non-Black Physicians

    Open Access•Ivuoma N Onyeador, Natalie M Wittlin et al.•Psychological Science•2019

  • Do Implicit Racial Biases Have Significant Discriminatory Effects

    Open Access•Timothy Fuller•Ergo an Open Access Journal of…•2021

  • The Nurturing Stance, Moral Responsibility, and the (Implicit) Bias Blind Spot

    Open Access•René Baston•Journal of the American…•2023

  • Racial Attitudes, Accumulation Mechanisms, and Disparities

    Open Access•Ron Mallon•Review of Philosophy and Psychology•2021

  • Proactive control and agency

    Open Access•René Baston•Phenomenology and the Cognitive…•2024

  • Non‐negligible levels of implicit skin tone bias among Australian healthcare workers between 2007 and 2022

    Open Access•Anastasia Ejova, Natasha R van Antwerpen et al.•Asian Journal Of Social Psychology•2024

  • Is the performance at the implicit association test sensitive to feedback presentation? A Rasch-based analysis

    Open Access•Ottavia M Epifania, Pasquale Anselmi et al.•Psychological Research•2023

  • Discretionary Prosecutorial Decision-Making

    Open Access•Jennifer Cox, Jane C Daquin et al.•Criminal Justice and Behavior•2022

  • The challenge to race eliminativism from implicit bias research

    Open Access•Timothy Fuller•Journal of Social Philosophy•2022

  • Is your own team against you? Implicit bias and interpersonal regard in criminal defense

    Joseph J Avery, Jordan Starck et al.•The Journal of Social Psychology•2021

  • An investigation of emotional and evaluative implicit associations with police using four versions of the Implicit Association Test

    Rikki H Sargent, Leonard S Newman•The Journal of Social Psychology•2023

  • White children's prosocial behavior toward White versus Black peers

    Open Access•Xiaoye Xu, Tracy L Spinrad et al.•Child Development•2023

  • Horror Videogame Sound Effects, Cardiovascular Arousal, and Ethnic Bias in the Decision to Shoot

    M E Ballard, Michael Spencer et al.•The American Journal of Psychology•2021

  • Tracking Prejudice

    Open Access•David E Melnikoff, Thomas C Mann et al.•Social Psychological and…•2021

  • Does Reducing Implicit Prejudice Increase Out-Group Identification? The Downstream Consequences of Evaluative Training on Associations Between the Self and Racial Categories

    Open Access•Curtis E Phills, Kiyoshi Kawakami et al.•Social Psychological and…•2019

  • Disproportionate Use of Lethal Force in Policing Is Associated With Regional Racial Biases of Residents

    Open Access•Eric Hehman, Jessica K Flake et al.•Social Psychological and…•2018

  • Progress, but at the Expense of Male Power? Institutional Resistance to Gender Equality in an Irish University

    Open Access•Michael Hodgins, Pat O’connor•Frontiers in Sociology•2021

  • Childhood Experiences and Intergroup Biases among Children

    Open Access•Allison L Skinner, Andrew N Meltzoff•Social Issues and Policy Review•2018

  • Elegant Science Narratives and Unintended Influences

    Open Access•Hart Blanton, Elif G Ikizer•Social Issues and Policy Review•2018

  • Revisiting the Policy Implications of Implicit Social Cognition

    Open Access•Jordan Axt, Valentina Palacio Posada et al.•Social Issues and Policy Review•2025

  • Cultivating Equal Minds

    Open Access•Neil A Lewis•Annual Review of Law and Social…•2023

  • Direct and indirect dimensional compensation

    Open Access•Mathias Schmitz, Vincent Yzerbyt•Group Processes & Intergroup…•2020

  • Implicit Bias and Discrimination

    Open Access•Katharina Berndt Rasmussen•Theoria•2020

  • Clinician Bias in Diagnosis and Treatment

    Open Access•Danielle Hairston, Danielle R Hairston et al.•Racism and Psychiatry•2019

  • Five Traditions of Quantitative Research on Racism

    Open Access•P P Verhaeghe•Sociology Compass•2025

  • Diversity, equity, and inclusion programs' emphasis on symbolism

    Open Access•Ariel Levi, Yitzhak Fried•Journal of Organizational Behavior•2024

  • The Bias of Crowds

    B Keith Payne, Heidi A Vuletich et al.•Psychological Inquiry•2017

  • Collective Racial Bias and the Black-White Test Score Gap

    Open Access•Francis A Pearman•Race and Social Problems•2021

  • Implicit and explicit linguistic biases

    Open Access•Robert M Mckenzie, Kristofor Mccarty et al.•Lingua•2025

  • Implicit candidate traits in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election

    Open Access•Joseph A Vitriol, Aleksander Ksiazkiewicz et al.•Electoral Studies•2018

  • The visual analogue scale as a child-friendly measure of the unhealthy = tasty intuition

    Open Access•Jonathan D'hondt, Barbara Briers•Appetite•2024

  • Implicit Attitudes and the Challenge of Becoming a Reflexive Leisure Scholar

    Garrett A Stone, Brandon Harris et al.•Leisure Sciences•2021

  • A wolf in sheep’s clothing? Communal narcissism and positive implicit self-views in the communal domain

    Open Access•Ramzi Fatfouta, Michela Schröder‐abé et al.•Journal of Research in Personality•2018

  • Defining American National Identity

    Open Access•Phoebe Bui•Nationalities Papers•2024

  • Racial Stereotype Endorsement, Academic Engagement, Mindset, and Performance among Black and White American Adolescents

    Open Access•Ming-Te Wang, Daphne A Henry et al.•Journal of Youth and Adolescence•2022

  • The prevalence of fatal police shootings by U.S. police, 2015–2016

    Open Access•Jon M Shane, Jon Shane et al.•Journal of Criminal Justice•2017

  • Gender stereotypes underlie child custody decisions

    Open Access•Luiza Lopes Franco Costa, Ana Beatriz Dillon Esteves et al.•European Journal of Social…•2019

  • What we can (and can’t) infer about implicit bias from debiasing experiments

    Open Access•Nick Byrd•Synthese•2021

  • You are just being emotional! Testimonial injustice and folk-psychological attributions

    Open Access•Rose Diaz, Manuel Almagro•Synthese•2021

  • Implicit bias, epistemic injustice, and pragmatic stereotypes

    Open Access•Stina Björkholm•The Philosophical Quarterly•2025

  • The smoke-detector principle of pathogen avoidance

    Open Access•Florian Van Leeuwen, B Jaeger et al.•Evolution and Human Behavior•2025

  • Asymmetry in political polarization at multiple levels of bias

    Open Access•Annika Kluge, Eli Adler et al.•Political Psychology•2024

  • Black lives matter

    Open Access•Eddy S Ng, Eddy Ng et al.•Equal Opportunities International•2020

  • The discrimination paradox

    Open Access•Lee Jussim•Theory and Society•2025

  • Patient traits shape health-care stakeholders' choices on how to best allocate life-saving care

    Open Access•Charles Crabtree, John B Holbein et al.•Nature Human Behaviour•2022

  • Bridging cultural sociology and cognitive psychology in three contemporary research programmes

    Open Access•M Lamont, Laura Adler et al.•Nature Human Behaviour•2017

  • Cross-temporal relations of conditional risk perception measures with protective actions against Covid-19

    Open Access•Branden B Johnson, Byungdoo Kim•Social Science & Medicine•2023

  • Black Americans' Implicit Racial Associations And Their Implications for Intergroup Judgment

    Leslie Ashburn-Nardo, Leslie Ashburn‐Nardo et al.•Social Cognition•2003

  • Computing Interaction Effects and Standard Errors in Logit and Probit Models

    Open Access•Edward C Norton, Hua Wang et al.•The Stata Journal: Promoting…•2004

  • Implicit race attitudes predict trustworthiness judgments and economic trust decisions

    Open Access•Damian A Stanley, Damian Stanley et al.•Proceedings of the National…•2011

  • Ambiguity in Social Categorization

    Open Access•Kurt Hugenberg, Galen V Bodenhausen•Psychological Science•2004

  • Ironic Effects of Racial Bias During Interracial Interactions

    Open Access•J Nicole Shelton, Jennifer A Richeson et al.•Psychological Science•2005

  • Racial Bias Reduces Empathic Sensorimotor Resonance with Other-Race Pain

    Open Access•Alessio Avenanti, Angela Sirigu et al.•Current Biology•2010

  • An fMRI investigation of the impact of interracial contact on executive function

    Open Access•Jennifer A Richeson, Abigail A Baird et al.•Nature Neuroscience•2003

  • Physician Implicit Attitudes and Stereotypes About Race and Quality of Medical Care

    Janice Sabin, Janice A Sabin et al.•Medical Care•2008

  • Robust variance estimation in meta‐regression with dependent effect size estimates

    Open Access•Larry V Hedges, Elise Tipton et al.•Research Synthesis Methods•2010

  • When Prejudice Does Not Pay

    Open Access•Jennifer A Richeson, J Nicole Shelton•Psychological Science•2003

  • Facing Prejudice

    Open Access•Kurt Hugenberg, Galen V Bodenhausen•Psychological Science•2003

  • Automatic associations and discrimination in hiring

    Open Access•Dan-Olof Rooth, Dan‐olof Rooth•Labour Economics•2009

  • Separable Neural Components in the Processing of Black and White Faces

    Open Access•William A Cunningham, Marcia K Johnson et al.•Psychological Science•2004

  • Discrimination and the Implicit Association Test

    Open Access•Laurie A Rudman, Richard D Ashmore•Group Processes & Intergroup…•2007

  • Implicit and Explicit Consequences of Exposure to Violent and Misogynous Rap Music

    Open Access•Laurie A Rudman, Matthew R Lee•Group Processes & Intergroup…•2002

  • Implicit and Explicit Attitudes and Interracial Interaction

    Open Access•Wilhelm Hofmann, Tobias Gschwendner et al.•Group Processes & Intergroup…•2008

  • Implicit bias in impression formation

    Open Access•Bertram Gawronski, Daniel Geschke et al.•European Journal of Social…•2003

  • Stereotyping and evaluation in implicit race bias

    David M Amodio, Patricia G Devine•Journal of Personality and Social…•2006

  • Plausible assumptions, questionable assumptions and post hoc rationalizations

    Open Access•Hart Blanton, James Jaccard et al.•Journal of Experimental Social…•2006

  • Implicit motivation to control prejudice

    Open Access•Jack Glaser, Eric D Knowles•Journal of Experimental Social…•2007

  • Stereotypic explanatory bias

    Open Access•Denise Sekaquaptewa, Penelope Espinoza et al.•Journal of Experimental Social…•2003

  • Arbitrary metrics in psychology

    Hart Blanton, James Jaccard•American Psychologist•2006

  • Predictors of African American and European American adolescents' endorsement of race-conscious social policies

    Julie Milligan Hughes, Rebecca S Bigler•Developmental Psychology•2010

  • A variance explanation paradox

    Robert P Abelson•Psychological Bulletin•1985

  • Explicit Evidence on the Import of Implicit Attitudes

    Open Access•Efrén Pérez, Efrén O Pérez•Political Behavior•2010

  • Functional projection

    Jon K Maner, Douglas T Kenrick et al.•Journal of Personality and Social…•2005

  • Statistically small effects of the Implicit Association Test can have societally large effects

    Anthony G Greenwald, Mahzarin R Banaji et al.•Journal of Personality and Social…•2015

  • Relations among the Implicit Association Test, Discriminatory Behavior, and Explicit Measures of Racial Attitudes

    Open Access•Allen R Mcconnell, Jill M Leibold•Journal of Experimental Social…•2001

  • When small effects are impressive

    Deborah A Prentice, Dale T Miller•Psychological Bulletin•1992

  • Societal and Managerial Implications of Implicit Social Cognition

    Open Access•Dolly Chugh•Social Justice Research•2004

  • Implicit racial bias and prosocial behavior

    Open Access•Irena Stepanikova, Jennifer Triplett et al.•Social Science Research•2011

Unique citing works54
Citations per year5,4
Citation span2016 - 2026 (11)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 52

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae