Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Events, Equilibria, and Government Survival

Bibliographic Data

ID6230454
AuthorsMichael Laver (0000-0001-7515-9831), Kenneth A Shepsle (Ollscoil na Gaillimhe – University of Galway)
Year1998
Volume42
Issue1
Pages28
Publication date1998-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907
PublisherJSTOR (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/2991746
OpenAlexW2014179366
LanguageCA
Citations received69
References cited14

Theory: A game-theoretic model of government formation yields an equilibrium government, the robustness of which may be explored by subjecting it to exogenous shocks. This permits an examination of government durability and survival in a cruel political world. Hypotheses: The vulnerability of a government to exogenous shocks depends upon the nature of the shock. A government may be quite resistant to some classes of shock, while it is highly vulnerable to others. Methods: Game-theoretic analysis yields equilibrium results. A simulation technology is crafted which allows us to subject this equilibrium to perturbations of its underlying parameters (much in the spirit of wind-tunnel experiments in engineering). Results: The technology does indeed allow the systematic examination of well-defined cases. We find, for the case of two European governments in the 1980s and 1990s, that they differ considerably in their vulnerability to exogenous shocks

Economics · Government (linguistics · Linguistics · Political science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Game Theory and Applications · Game Theory and Voting Systems · Philosophy

  • Coalition Government

    Daniel Diermeier•The Oxford handbook of political…•2009

  • The Evolution of Party Systems between Elections

    Michael Laver, Kenneth Benoit•American Journal of Political…•2003

  • Kommunalt koalitionsbyggande i ett nytt parlamentariskt landskap

    Open Access•Johan Wänström•Sociologisk Forskning•2018

  • Ruling in turbulent times

    Open Access•Andrea Capati, Marco Improta et al.•Frontiers in Political Science•2023

  • Pawns Take Queen

    Open Access•Dawn Brancati•Constitutional Political Economy•2005

  • The Political Consequences of Terrorism

    Open Access•Laron Williams, Michael T Koch et al.•International Studies Perspectives•2012

  • The Impact of Terrorism on Governance in African Countries

    Open Access•Simplice Anutechia Asongu, Jacinta C Nwachukwu•World Development•2017

  • Bargaining in Less-Democratic Newly Industrialized Countries

    Open Access•O Fiona Yap•Journal of Theoretical Politics•2005

  • Fission and fusion of parties in Estonia, 1987–1999

    B Grofman, Evald Mikkel et al.•Journal of Baltic Studies•2000

  • Negotiation in legislatures over government formation

    Open Access•Michael Laver, Scott De Marchi et al.•Public Choice•2011

  • Keeping the party together

    Open Access•Hande Mutlu-Eren•Public Choice•2015

  • Ethics on the edge

    C Friedberg, Osnat Akirav•Israel Affairs•2026

  • Early Marriages Last Longer

    Open Access•Mihail Chiru•Government and Opposition•2015

  • Presidential power effects on government and ministerial durability

    Open Access•Elena Semenova, Keith Dowding•European Political Science Review•2021

  • Predictably Unpredictable

    Open Access•Laron K Williams, Laron Williams et al.•British Journal of Political…•2014

  • Business as Usual in the Face of the Populist Challenge? The AfD’s Entry Strategy and Mainstream Parties’ Responses to It

    Open Access•Karen Umansky, Itai Sened et al.•German Politics•2025

  • Government instability and the state

    Open Access•Daniel Walther, Johan Hellström et al.•Political Science Research and…•2018

  • Coalition dynamics

    Open Access•Wolfgang C Müller, Hanna Bäck et al.•West European Politics•2024

  • Termination of parliamentary governments

    Open Access•Yael Shomer, Bjørn Erik Rasch et al.•West European Politics•2022

  • The verdict in the polls

    Daniel Walther, Johan Hellström•West European Politics•2019

  • Economy, Type of Government, and Strategic Timing of Elections

    Pedro Riera•West European Politics•2015

  • Modelling coalitions that cannot coalesce

    Patrick Dunleavy, Simon Bastow•West European Politics•2001

  • Governments, decentralisation, and the risk of electoral defeat

    Sofia Collignon•West European Politics•2019

  • Coalition agreements and governments’ policy-making productivity

    Open Access•Matthew E Bergman, Mariyana Angelova et al.•West European Politics•2024

  • Prime ministers, the vote of confidence and the management of coalition terminations between elections

    Petra Schleiter, Georgina Evans et al.•West European Politics•2022

  • Populism Put to the Polarisation Test

    Filippo Tronconi, Marco Valbruzzi•South European Society & Politics•2020

  • Party System Change in Italy

    Daniela Giannetti, Andrea Pedrazzani et al.•South European Society & Politics•2017

  • An Italian Leitmotiv? Corruption and Competence in the Debates of the Italian Chamber of Deputies (1946–2014)

    Luigi Curini•South European Society & Politics•2015

  • Like Leaves in the Wind? Economic Conditions and Government Survival in Italy (1946–2015)

    Luca Pinto•South European Society & Politics•2018

  • Survival of the Ministers

    Open Access•Martin G Søyland•Scandinavian Political Studies•2017

  • Governmental Change in a President-Parliamentary Regime

    Edward Morgan-Jones, Edward Morgan‐jone et al.•Post-Soviet Affairs•2004

  • Presidential activism and government termination in dual-executive Ukraine

    Serhiy Kudelia•Post-Soviet Affairs•2018

  • Dynamic Approaches to Studying Parliamentary Coalitions

    Open Access•James N Druckman•Political Research Quarterly•2008

  • Not as bad as I thought

    Open Access•Georgios Kavetsos, Christian Krekel et al.•Political Psychology•2025

  • Government formation under the shadow of a core party

    Open Access•Luigi Curini, Luca Pinto•Party Politics•2013

  • Office and Policy Payoffs in Coalition Governments

    Open Access•Marc Debus•Party Politics•2008

  • Competing for the platform

    Open Access•Jennifer Nicoll Victor, Gina Yannitell Reinhardt•Party Politics•2018

  • The Timing of Cabinet Reshuffles in Five Westminster Parliamentary Systems

    Open Access•Christopher Kam, Indridi Indridason•Legislative Studies Quarterly•2005

  • Influence without Confidence

    Open Access•James N Druckman, Leonard W Martins et al.•Legislative Studies Quarterly•2005

  • Stability in Parliamentary Regimes

    Open Access•Riccardo Pelizzo, Joseph Cooper•Legislative Studies Quarterly•2002

  • More than post-election cabinets

    Open Access•Luigi Curini, Luca Pinto•International Political Science…•2016

  • Parties' Influence during Government Policy Negotiations

    Luigi Curini, Andrea Ceron•Journal of Legislative Studies•2013

  • International Uncertainty, Foreign Policy Flexibility, and Surplus Majority Coalitions in Israel

    Open Access•Douglas M Stinnett, Douglas Stinnett•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2007

  • Legislative Party Switching and Executive Coalitions

    Open Access•Carol Mershon•Japanese Journal of Political…•2008

  • Survival and Accountability

    Open Access•Ryan Kennedy•International Studies Quarterly•2009

  • The Effect of Terrorism on Income Inequality

    Open Access•Ronald J Mcgauvran, G Biglaiser et al.•International Studies Quarterly•2024

  • Competing Commitments

    Open Access•John R Freeman•International Organization•2002

  • How is Government Stability Affected by the State of the Economy? Payoff Structures, Government Type and Economic State

    Open Access•Johan Hellström, Daniel Walther•Government and Opposition•2019

  • The Entry of the M5S and the Reshaping of Party Politics in Italy (2008–2018)

    Open Access•Daniela Giannetti, Karen Umansky et al.•Government and Opposition•2024

  • Sowing the Seeds of Love’? Determinants of Local Coalition Formation and Termination between the CDU and the Greens, 1994–2016

    Martin Gro•German Politics•2018

  • The Grand Coalition and the Party System

    Charles Lees•German Politics•2010

  • Dodging the bullet

    Open Access•Christopher Wratil, Giulia Pastorella•European Journal of Political…•2018

  • Government survival the Italian way

    Open Access•Luigi Curini•European Journal of Political…•2011

  • Do parties matter in internationalised policy areas? The impact of political parties on environmental policy outputs in 18 OECD countries, 1970–2000

    Open Access•Christoph Knill, Marc Debus et al.•European Journal of Political…•2010

  • Executive Approval Dynamics in Presidential and Parliamentary Democratic Regimes

    Open Access•Cecilia Martínez‐gallardo, Gregory J Love et al.•Comparative Political Studies•2025

  • Explaining the demise of the national–New Zealand first coalition

    Jonathan Boston, Stephen Church et al.•Australian Journal of Political…•2004

  • Models of Government Formation

    Michael Laver•Annual Review of Political Science•1998

  • Government Termination

    Michael Laver•Annual Review of Political Science•2003

  • The Basic Arithmetic of Legislative Decisions

    Open Access•Michael Laver, Kenneth Benoit•American Journal of Political…•2015

  • The Importance of Concurrence

    James N Druckman, Michael F Thies et al.•American Journal of Political…•2002

  • The Evolution of Party Systems between Elections

    Open Access•Michael Laver, Kenneth Benoit•American Journal of Political…•2003

  • The Corrective Effect of Ministerial Resignations on Government Popularity

    Open Access•Torun Dewan, Keith Dowding•American Journal of Political…•2005

  • Dissolution Threats and Legislative Bargaining

    Open Access•Marlis Becher, Michael Becher et al.•American Journal of Political…•2015

  • The Public Administration of Politics, or What Political Science Could Learn from Public Administration

    Open Access•Kenneth J Meier•PS Political Science & Politics•2007

  • Ideological proximity and valence competition. Negative campaigning through allegation of corruption in the Italian legislative arena from 1946 to 1994

    Open Access•Luigi Curini, Paolo Martelli•Electoral Studies•2010

  • Public opinion feedback between elections, and stability of single-party majority governments

    Open Access•Takatomo Matsumoto, Michael Laver•Electoral Studies•2015

  • The political context of issue-priority voting

    Open Access•Han Dorussen, Michaell Taylor et al.•Electoral Studies•2001

  • Partisanship, Ministers, and Biotechnology Policy

    Open Access•Hanna Bäck, Marc Debus et al.•Review of Policy Research•2015

  • Cabinet Durability and Fiscal Discipline

    Open Access•David Fortunato, Matt W Loftis•American Political Science Review•2018

  • Government Survival in Parliamentary Democracies

    Open Access•Paul Warwick•Government Survival in…•1995

  • Political competitition and multiparty coalition governments

    Open Access•Norman Schofield•European Journal of Political…•1993

  • Toward a theoretical explanation of premature cabinet termination

    Open Access•B Grofman, Peter Van Roozendaal•European Journal of Political…•1994

  • The Durability of Coalition Governments in Parliamentary Democracies

    Open Access•Paul Warwick•Comparative Political Studies•1979

  • The Process of Cabinet Dissolution

    Eric C Browne, John P Frendreis et al.•American Journal of Political…•1986

  • A Unified Model of Cabinet Dissolution in Parliamentary Democracies

    Gary King, James E Alt et al.•American Journal of Political…•1990

  • Party policy and cabinet portfolios in Ireland 1992

    Michael Laver•Irish Political Studies•1994

  • Stable Governments and the Allocation of Policy Portfolios

    Open Access•David Austen-Smith, David Austen‐smith et al.•American Political Science Review•1990

  • Coalitions and Cabinet Government

    Open Access•Michael Laver, Kenneth A Shepsle•American Political Science Review•1990

  • Contending Models of Cabinet Stability

    Open Access•Kaare W Strøm, Kaare Strom et al.•American Political Science Review•1988

  • The Vote of Confidence in Parliamentary Democracies

    Open Access•John D Huber•American Political Science Review•1996

  • Elections, Coalitions, and Legislative Outcomes

    Open Access•David Austen-Smith, David Austen‐smith et al.•American Political Science Review•1988

  • A Spatial Bargaining Theory of Government Formation in Parliamentary Systems

    Open Access•David P Baron•American Political Science Review•1991

  • Party Systems and Government Stability

    Open Access•Michael Taylor, V M Herman et al.•American Political Science Review•1971

Unique citing works69
Citations per year2,46
Citation span1998 - 2026 (29)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 69

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae