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The Law Behind Dispute Onset

How Legal Uncertainty Drives Maritime Boundary Disputes

Bibliographic Data

ID6283337
AuthorsUmut Yüksel (0000-0001-8561-3559, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume69
Issue7-8
Pages1172-1204
Publication date2025-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/00220027241305076
PMID40688110
OpenAlexW4405038461
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited39

The making of international law through multilateral conventions and adjudication often leads to periods of legal uncertainty, times in which there are alternative rules and divergent views on how they ought to be applied to particular cases. I argue that legal uncertainty gives states opportunities and incentives to formulate excessive unilateral claims, thus making disputes more likely to arise. I illustrate my argument with a comprehensive analysis of maritime boundary disputes in the aftermath of the Second World War. In this period, the law regulating maritime boundary-making has been marked by varying degrees of uncertainty due to different rules and interpretations proffered by various multilateral and judicial lawmaking attempts. I find strong evidence that high legal uncertainty is associated with an increased probability of dispute onset. The analysis calls for an important rethinking of the impact of legalization on international affairs, both in maritime boundary-making and in other issues areas

Adjudication · Argument (complex analysis · Boundary (topology · Dispute resolution · Economics · International law · Law and economics · Lawmaking · Legalization · Legislature · Political science · International Law and Human Rights · International Maritime Law Issues · Law · World Trade Organization Law

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year3
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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