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Reagan and the Russians

Crisis Bargaining Beliefs and the Historical Record

Bibliographic Data

ID3373075
AuthorsRussell J Leng (Middlebury College, corresponding author)
Year1984
Volume78
Issue2
Pages338-355
Publication date1984-06-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Political Science Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/1963368
OpenAlexW2332084870
LanguageEN
Citations received44
References cited23

Reagan's view of how to deal with the Soviet Union is compared to the U. S. performance record in three Soviet-American crises: Berlin, 1948-1949, Berlin, 1961, andCuba, 1962. Reagan's public statements indicate that he views the Soviets as incorrigibly hostile, so that conflict bargaining with the Soviets is a zero-sum game requiring a coercive U.S. bargaining strategy. This is characterized as a "bullying" strategy and contrasted with a "reciprocating" approach. The two approaches provide competing hypotheses for an examination of Soviet responses to U.S. influence attempts. The study tests the association between types of U.S. influence attempts and initial Soviet reactions and then proceeds to an interrupted time series analysis of the longer effects of U. S. threats of force on the mix of coercion-accommodation in Soviet crisis bargaining. The author finds a positive association between specific U.S. threats of force and initial Soviet responses in kind, and between carrot-and-stick inducements that use less specific threats and more accommodative Soviet responses. With the exception of the Cuban crisis, U.S. threats of force have not been associated with significant extended shifts in the level of Soviet hostility. The article concludes that, on balance, the performance record of the United States is more supportive of the efficacy of a reciprocating strategy than the coercive bargaining strategy implied by Reagan's beliefs

Balance (ability · Coercion (linguistics · Economics · Hostility · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Soviet union · Economic Sanctions and International Relations · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works44
Citations per year1,05
Citation span1984 - 2026 (43)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 44

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