Peace, War, and the Balance of Power

Bibliographic Data

ID3365455
AuthorsR Harrison Wagner (0000-0001-7823-2344, The University of Texas at Austin, corresponding author)
Year1994
Volume88
Issue3
Pages593-607
Publication date1994-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Political Science Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/2944797
OpenAlexW2096600367
LanguageEN
Citations received50
References cited27

Every possible relation between the distribution of power and the likelihood of war has been defended somewhere in the literature on international politics: war is least likely if power is distributed equally, war is least likely if power is distributed unequally, and the distribution of power has no effect on the likelihood of war. I try to settle this dispute by examining the effect of expectations about the outcome of war on the choice between war and negotiation. I argue that each of these mutually contradictory propositions can be derived from some plausible set of premises and thus that which one is correct depends on which set of premises best describes a situation. The most important factors affecting the relation between the distribution of power and the likelihood of war are (1) whether the terms of a compromise agreement that might be accepted in lieu of war affect the distribution of power between the antagonists and therefore the probability that the agreement will be enforced and (2) how many states' interests will be affected by the outcome

Balance (ability · Compromise · Distribution (mathematics · Economics · Law and economics · Mathematical economics · Negotiation · Outcome (game theory · Physics · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Power (physics · Relation (database · Set (abstract data type · Spanish Civil War · Computer Science · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Mathematics · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology

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