Taking Sides in Wars of Attrition
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3764681 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Robert Powell (0000-0003-2768-0555, University of California, Berkeley, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2017 |
| Volume | 111 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 219-236 |
| Publication date | 2017-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Political Science Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1017/s0003055416000782 |
| OpenAlex | W2588150866 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 19 |
| References cited | 55 |
Third parties often have a stake in the outcome of a conflict and can affect that outcome by taking sides. This article studies the factors that affect a third party's decision to take sides in a civil or interstate war by adding a third actor to a standard continuous-time war of attrition with two-sided asymmetric information. The third actor has preferences over which of the other two actors wins and for being on the winning side conditional on having taken sides. The third party also gets a flow payoff during the fighting which can be positive when fighting is profitable or negative when fighting is costly. The article makes four main contributions: First, it provides a formal framework for analyzing the effects of endogenous intervention on the duration and outcome of the conflict. Second, it identifies a "boomerang" effect that tends to make alignment decisions unpredictable and coalitions dynamically unstable. Third, it yields several clear comparative-static results. Finally, the formal analysis has implications for empirical efforts to estimate the effects of intervention, showing that there may be significant selection and identification issues
Affect (linguistics · Attrition · Economics · Identification (biology · Intervention (counseling · Microeconomics · Outcome (game theory · Political science · Stochastic game · Third party · Computer Science · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology
Rationalist Explanations for Two-Front War
Pax Monopolista or the Rule of Law ? The enforcer’s dilemma in reputational criminal wars
Letting sleeping bears lie
The bargaining framework and Russia's invasion of Ukraine
Misaligned interests and the credibility of alleged support
Coalition Politics and War Termination
Democracy, reputation for resolve, and civil conflict
Dynamic Screening in International Crises
Do Major-Power Interventions Encourage the Onset of Civil Conflict? A Structural Analysis
A duration estimator for a continuous time war of attrition game
Painful Words
Less Is More? Shifting Power and Third-Party Military Assistance
Crisis Bargaining in the Shadow of Third-Party Opportunism
Alliance Dynamics in the Shadow of Shifting Power
Talking While Fighting
External Intervention, Identity, and Civil War
Third-party regime type and civil war duration
Biding time versus timely retreat
The Logic of Violence in Drug War
Internal war
In the Shadow of Power
Civil Wars and Foreign Powers
Alliance Formation in Civil Wars
Multilateral War Bargaining
Strategic Militarization, Deterrence and Wars
Vote Buying
Lootable resources and third-party intervention into civil wars
The war of attrition with incomplete information
Why Factions Switch Sides in Civil Wars
Testing the Surge
Can Hearts and Minds Be Bought? The Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq
Vote Buying
Explaining Britain's Economic Performance
Can Foreign Aid Accelerate Stabilisation
Natural Resources, Conflict, and Conflict Resolution
Committing to Peace
Theory of international politics
War with Crazy Types
Preventive War as a Result of Long-Term Shifts in Power
Diplomacy and Other Forms of Intervention in Civil Wars
A Diamond Curse
Third-party Interventions and the Duration of Intrastate Conflicts
Killing Time
Alliance Formation and War
Going in When it Counts
Explaining External Support for Insurgent Groups
Bargaining, Enforcement, and International Cooperation
How Do Natural Resources Influence Civil War? Evidence from Thirteen Cases
Rationalist explanations for war
War as a Commitment Problem
A Closer Look at Oil, Diamonds, and Civil War
Bargaining Failures and Civil War
Monotone Comparative Statics for Models of Politics
The Armed Peace
Deterring Intervention
Alliances and Asymmetry
Persistent Fighting and Shifting Power
When and Whom to Join
On the Duration of Civil War
Third-Party Intervention and the Civil War Process
Transnational Dimensions of Civil War
Blocking resolution
Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Much Longer than Others
| Unique citing works | 19 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3,17 |
| Citation span | 2020 - 2026 (7) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 19 |