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Skilled or unskilled, but still unaware of it

How perceptions of difficulty drive miscalibration in relative comparisons

Bibliographic Data

ID6205536
AuthorsKatherine A Burson (0009-0009-1510-1705, University of Michigan), Richard P Larrick (0000-0002-0491-426X, Duke University), Joshua Klayman (0000-0002-4908-7827, University of Chicago)
Year2006
Volume90
Issue1
Pages60-77
Publication date2006-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Personality and Social Psychology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3514 • E-ISSN: 1939-1315
PublisherAmerican Psychological Association (APA) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1037/0022-3514.90.1.60
PMID16448310
OpenAlexW1996281239
LanguageEN
Citations received54
References cited53

People are inaccurate judges of how their abilities compare to others'. J. Kruger and D. Dunning (1999, 2002) argued that unskilled performers in particular lack metacognitive insight about their relative performance and disproportionately account for better-than-average effects. The unskilled overestimate their actual percentile of performance, whereas skilled performers more accurately predict theirs. However, not all tasks show this bias. In a series of 12 tasks across 3 studies, the authors show that on moderately difficult tasks, best and worst performers differ very little in accuracy, and on more difficult tasks, best performers are less accurate than worst performers in their judgments. This pattern suggests that judges at all skill levels are subject to similar degrees of error. The authors propose that a noise-plus-bias model of judgment is sufficient to explain the relation between skill level and accuracy of judgments of relative standing

Cognitive psychology · Overconfidence effect · Percentile · Percentile rank · Perception · Statistics · Variance (accounting) · Behavioral Health and Interventions · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Mathematics · Psychology · Social and Intergroup Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works54
Citations per year2,7
Citation span2006 - 2026 (21)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 51

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