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Democratic Politics and International Trade Negotiations

Elections and Divided Government As Constraints on Trade Liberalization

Bibliographic Data

ID6285250
AuthorsHelen V Milner (0000-0003-2990-8373, Columbia University), B Peter Rosendorff (0000-0002-6775-8911, University of Southern California)
Year1997
Volume41
Issue1
Pages117-146
Publication date1997-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002797041001006
OpenAlexW2117367444
LanguageEN
Citations received113
References cited28

Elections affect both the probability of successful ratification and the terms of international trade agreements; domestic politics in its simplest form shapes international negotiations. Without elections, the extent of protection in a trade agreement increases with the degree of divided government, and the Schelling conjecture—whereby an international negotiator can point to a hawkish legislature to extract greater concessions from the foreign country—holds only when the legislature is not too hawkish. An election (where the executive anticipates the preferences of the legislature imperfectly) implies that when divisions in government rise, the probability of ratification failure increases, the expected outcome becomes more protectionist, and the executive's influence vis-à-vis the foreign country declines, thus challenging the Schelling conjecture

Democracy · Divided government · Economics · Foreign policy · Government (linguistics · International economics · International trade · Legislature · Negotiation · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Protectionism · Ratification · Global trade and economics · International Development and Aid · Law · World Trade Organization Law

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Unique citing works113
Citations per year3,9
Citation span1997 - 2026 (30)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 112

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